State's COVID-19 Model, through April 6

The state’s modeling of the coronavirus caseload in Vermont shows that cases will peak in mid-April to early May, in a “likely scenario,” but that existing medical supplies and space may still be stretched beyond their current capacity. An exponential increase in COVID-19 cases that began to appear last week has slowed amid severe social distancing measures. However, modeling released by the Scott administration on Thursday shows that the caseload is still likely to overextend the hospital system, particularly when it comes to ventilators and intensive care beds. https://vtdigger.org/2020/04/02/state-models-shows-covid-19-caseload-peaking-in-mid-april-under-likely-scenario

Michael Pieciak, commissioner of the Department of Financial Regulation

April 7, 2020

Paul Carnahan